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Joni Ernst

U.S. Senator · Iowa · Republican · Roster snapshot 2026-03-28
Serving in office Scheduled research active Main board
The signal is improving, but the lifetime record is still thin.

This profile keeps a lifetime office and promise record. The trust score is designed to stay close to 50 until enough claims and evidence are reviewed.

Breakdown

  • Delivered during the term promised: 7 x 1.0
  • Delivered in a later elected term: 0 x 0.8
  • Partial delivery: 3 x 0.4
  • Never delivered: 3 x 0.0
  • Disputed claims tracked separately: 0
  • Reviewed promises in current record: 13
  • Confidence: 52%
  • Current claim count: 21
  • Current evidence count: 108

Open claims and evidence

Office History

  • U.S. Senator
    Iowa · current
    Continuous federal elected office-holding record. Current term is scheduled to end January 3, 2027.
  • U.S. Senator
    Iowa · current
    Historical elected offices still need research.
  • Candidate for U.S. Senator
    Iowa
    FEC filing/committee activity indicates a 2026 Senate candidacy filing. Ernst later announced in 2025 that she would not seek reelection, so this is treated as a withdrawn or non-continuing federal campaign rather than a current candidacy.
  • Candidate for U.S. Senator
    Iowa
    Federal reelection campaign entry. Ernst won reelection to the U.S. Senate in 2020.
  • Candidate for U.S. Senator
    Iowa
    Federal campaign entry. Ernst won the 2014 general election for Iowa's U.S. Senate seat.

Claims

Open full claims and evidence page

Method note

Long term, this app should score against a manually reviewed promise ledger that spans every elected office the candidate has held. The current model uses a Bayesian-style shrinkage step: thin records are pulled back toward 50 so the UI does not overstate certainty.

Claim occurrences, evidence, and future AI adjudications are all designed to store provider and model provenance. Formula version: 0.1.0.