46

Ron Estes

U.S. Representative, Kansas 4th District · Kansas · Republican · Roster snapshot 2026-04-22
Serving in office Scheduled research active Main board

This profile keeps a lifetime office and promise record. The trust score is designed to stay close to 50 until enough claims and evidence are reviewed.

Breakdown

  • Delivered during the term promised: 4 x 1.0
  • Delivered in a later elected term: 1 x 0.8
  • Partial delivery: 16 x 0.4
  • Never delivered: 4 x 0.0
  • Disputed claims tracked separately: 0
  • Reviewed promises in current record: 25
  • Confidence: 68%
  • Current claim count: 27
  • Current evidence count: 197

Open claims and evidence

Office History

  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Kansas 4th District · current
    Active federal campaign filing for the 2026 U.S. House election; no 2026 election result included because the campaign is current as of 2026-07-01.
  • U.S. Representative
    Kansas 4th District · current
    Federal elected office only. Estes won the 2017 special election for Kansas's 4th congressional district and has continued serving through the 119th Congress. State, county, party, private-sector, and family roles excluded.
  • U.S. Representative
    Kansas 4th · current
    Historical elected offices still need research.
  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Kansas 4th District
    Federal reelection campaign; official House election statistics show Estes won Kansas's 4th District in 2024.
  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Kansas 4th District
    Federal reelection campaign; official House election statistics show Estes won Kansas's 4th District in 2022.
  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Kansas 4th District
    Federal reelection campaign; official House election statistics show Estes won Kansas's 4th District in 2020.
  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Kansas 4th District
    Federal reelection campaign; official House election statistics show Estes won Kansas's 4th District in 2018.
  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Kansas 4th District special election
    Federal campaign for the special election to fill the U.S. House seat vacated by Mike Pompeo; Estes won and began House service in 2017.

Claims

Open full claims and evidence page

Method note

Long term, this app should score against a manually reviewed promise ledger that spans every elected office the candidate has held. The current model uses a Bayesian-style shrinkage step: thin records are pulled back toward 50 so the UI does not overstate certainty.

Claim occurrences, evidence, and future AI adjudications are all designed to store provider and model provenance. Formula version: 0.1.0.