Require prediction-market event contracts to have clear terms and conditions that minimize disputes over resolution and payout.

Finally, the Commission should work to require DCMs and DCOs to ensure that the terms and conditions of event contracts are clear and designed to minimize potential areas for dispute as to resolution and payout.

Slotkin and colleagues called for requirements that event contracts have clear terms and conditions to reduce customer confusion and payout disputes.

Slotkin, Klobuchar, Colleagues Raise Concerns on Prediction Markets  - Senator Elissa Slotkin
primary · press_release · model gpt-5.5

Current CFTC rules require a designated contract market or swap execution facility product submission to include a copy of the rules setting forth the contract's terms and conditions, plus a complete explanation and analysis of the product's terms and conditions, underlying commodity, and compliance with the Commodity Exchange Act and CFTC regulations.

This shows a standing federal requirement that event-contract product filings include terms and conditions and legal analysis. It partially overlaps with the promise, but it is a general CFTC product-listing framework and not a new Slotkin-specific requirement that prediction-market contracts use clear resolution and payout terms to minimize disputes.

partial unknown

17 CFR Part 40 -- Provisions Common to Registered Entities
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 84%

CFTC-designated contract markets must establish, monitor, and enforce compliance with contract terms and conditions; may list only contracts that are not readily susceptible to manipulation; and for cash-settled contracts must monitor settlement methodology and make good-faith efforts to resolve manipulation, disruption, or distortion concerns, including amending terms when necessary.

Existing DCM rules provide some protection for settlement integrity and contract terms, including cash-settlement contracts. They do not prove a campaign-promise delivery by Slotkin, nor do they establish a prediction-market-specific clear-resolution/payout standard.

partial unknown

17 CFR Part 38 -- Designated Contract Markets
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 82%

Axios reported that the CFTC released a 267-page notice of proposed rulemaking for sports event contracts and would accept comments for 90 days before finalizing rules.

Within the lookback window, the main federal development was a proposed CFTC rule, not a final rule. The report indicates regulatory work is still pending and does not show enactment of a clear-terms-and-payout requirement for prediction-market event contracts.

unresolved same_term

Feds move to formally allow sports "trading" on prediction markets
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 76%

WIRED reported that Spotify found artificial streaming after manipulation concerns, adjusted its charts, and that Kalshi had already resolved the related market and awarded traders before the adjustment; Kalshi said it was investigating.

This lookback-window incident is concrete evidence that event-contract resolution and payout problems remain live despite existing regulation. It supports unresolved status for the specific promise to minimize disputes over resolution and payout.

unresolved same_term

Spotify Confirms Streaming Fraud After Kalshi Trader Cries Foul
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 80%

An Ingham County Circuit Court order barred Kalshi from offering, listing, matching, executing, clearing, settling, or otherwise facilitating sports-betting-like event contracts to persons located in Michigan while litigation proceeds.

The Michigan TRO shows prediction-market event contracts remain contested and blocked in some jurisdictions during Slotkin's Senate term. It does not deliver the promised federal clear-terms requirement; it is evidence of unresolved legal and regulatory status.

unresolved same_term

KalshiEX Order Granting Temporary Restraining Order 06 29 2026
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 78%

Business Insider reported that Sens. Todd Young and Elissa Slotkin introduced the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, which would require covered officials to disclose prediction-market trades over $250 and prohibit use of nonpublic information for profit.

This is concrete Slotkin action on prediction-market integrity in the same Senate term, so it merits an effort badge. However, the bill addresses disclosure and insider-information misuse, not contract terms and conditions for resolution and payout, so it only partially relates to the claim and does not prove delivery.

partial same_term A for effort

What bets are lawmakers and staffers making on prediction markets? They don't have to say.
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 74%