Get the economy back on track.

Steve Scalise · Louisiana · Republican

policy impact 3.00 specificity 2.00 extraction confidence 98%

Commitment kind: outcome. Promised action: Continue working on affordability measures.. Promised outcome: Make life more affordable for working families.. Deadline: unknown; not assumed expired. As House Majority Leader contrasting House Republicans' agenda with Democrats ahead of the November 2026 election.

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Occurrences

get our economy back on track

Campaign commitment to improve economic conditions.

Scalise for Congress
campaign · campaign_site · model gpt-5.4-mini

Steve is fighting to promote fiscal discipline, create good-paying jobs, protect our freedoms, and get our economy back on track.

The campaign states Scalise is fighting to get the economy back on track.

Join Team Scalise
campaign · other · model gpt-5.4-mini

Evidence

legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

Leader Scalise outlined how with President Trump back in the White House and a Republican Senate, Congress can use the reconciliation process to achieve our pro-growth agenda to get the economy back on track.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): This is a direct official statement of intent to use reconciliation and pro-growth policy to get the economy back on track, but it is a promise/plan rather than proof of achieved economic results.

unresolved same_term A for effort

Scalise Discusses Trump, House GOP Economic Agenda on Squawk Box | Majority Leader
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 94%

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legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

Roll Call Number: 145 | Bill Number: H. R. 1 | Vote Question: On Passage | Bill Title & Description: One Big Beautiful Act | Status: Passed | Votes yea: 215 nay: 214 present: 1 not voting: 2.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): The House passed the major reconciliation bill that Republicans framed as part of their pro-growth economic agenda. This is concrete action toward the promise, but it does not by itself prove the economy was actually back on track.

partial same_term A for effort

Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 97%

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legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

Public Law 119-21, An Act To provide for reconciliation pursuant to title II of H. Con. Res. 14, was enacted on July 4, 2025. The text includes middle-class tax relief provisions such as no tax on tips.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): The reconciliation package became law and included tax and other economic provisions Republicans said would lower costs and boost growth. This is the strongest official evidence of concrete legislative delivery, though it still does not establish that the broader economy was fully 'back on track.'

partial same_term A for effort

PLAW-119publ21.pdf
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 98%

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legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

Roll 190 | 3-Jul | H R 1 | On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment | P | One Big Beautiful Bill Act.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): The House completed final passage of the economic reconciliation package after the Senate amendment, showing continued concrete advancement of the policy agenda tied to the promise.

partial same_term A for effort

U.S. House of Representatives Roll Call Votes
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 95%

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legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

Payroll employment rose by 172,000 in May and the unemployment rate held at 4.3 percent.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): The labor market remained resilient in the latest lookback window, which supports a partial-progress reading but not a full claim that the economy is back on track.

partial same_term

Employment Situation Summary - 2026 M05 Results
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 97%

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legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

CPI-U rose 4.2 percent over the 12 months ending May; core CPI rose 2.9 percent.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): Inflation remained elevated, which weakens any claim of a fully normalized economy even though monthly price growth slowed somewhat.

unresolved same_term

Consumer Price Index Summary - 2026 M05 Results
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 96%

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legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

Real GDP increased at an annual rate of 1.6 percent in the first quarter of 2026.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): Growth stayed positive but moderate, which is evidence of progress rather than decisive proof that the economy is fully back on track.

partial same_term

GDP (Second Estimate) and Corporate Profits, 1st Quarter 2026
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 97%

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legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

Personal income was essentially flat; real PCE rose 0.1 percent; PCE prices rose 0.4 percent in April and 3.8 percent year over year.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): Consumer spending improved modestly, but income growth was weak and inflation stayed elevated, leaving the broader status mixed.

unresolved same_term

Personal Income and Outlays, April 2026
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 95%

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legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

The goods and services deficit was $55.9 billion in April, down from $56.6 billion in March; exports rose 2.6 percent.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): Trade flows improved modestly, adding to the case for partial economic progress but not enough to establish a completed turnaround.

partial same_term

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, April 2026
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 94%

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legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

The Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in July 2026, but final demand prices increased 4.7 percent for the 12 months ended in July; final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 0.4 percent in July and 4.7 percent over 12 months.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): The latest official producer-price data show monthly stabilization but still-elevated annual price pressure, so the broader economy is not clearly back on track.

unresolved same_term

Producer Price Index News Release - 2026 M07 Results
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 96%

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legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July 2026 were $763.6 billion, down 0.6 percent from the previous month, but up 5.0 percent from July 2025; May through July sales were up 6.3 percent from the same period a year ago.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): Retail activity still showed year-over-year growth, supporting partial economic progress, but the monthly decline keeps the outcome short of delivered.

partial same_term

Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 95%

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Assessments

Public state: unverified As of unknown · legacy_unverified · . Original AI recommendation (not independently established): partial. same_term A for effort

Scalise materially advanced a federal economic agenda during the same congressional term, including House passage and enactment of the 2025 reconciliation law with tax and growth-related provisions. However, the promised outcome was broad and economy-wide, and the supplied 2026 indicators are mixed: employment and GDP remained positive and retail/trade data showed some improvement, while inflation and producer-price pressures remained elevated and income/spending data were weak. That supports partial progress and serious effort, but not full delivery that the economy was definitively back on track.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 90%

Public state: unverified As of unknown · legacy_unverified · . Original AI recommendation (not independently established): partial. same_term A for effort

Scalise materially advanced a House Republican economic agenda tied to this promise, including helping move and pass H.R. 1 and the reconciliation package that became Public Law 119-21 in July 2025. That supports meaningful same-term action and some policy delivery. But the promise was an outcome claim about getting the economy 'back on track,' and the later macro evidence remains mixed: job growth and GDP stayed positive, while inflation and real-income data still showed notable weakness. Because there was concrete legislative progress without clear proof that the broader economy was fully back on track, the best judgment is partial rather than delivered.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.4 · confidence 90%

Public state: unverified As of unknown · legacy_unverified · . Original AI recommendation (not independently established): partial. same_term A for effort

Scalise and House Republicans made a concrete same-term legislative attempt through the 2025 reconciliation package, and Public Law 119-21 enacted tax and economic provisions that plausibly advance a pro-growth agenda. However, the promise is broad and outcome-based: 'get the economy back on track' requires evidence of realized macroeconomic recovery or clear economic normalization, not just passage of favored policy. The evidence supports meaningful progress and delivery of components, but not full fulfillment of the overall economic outcome.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 86%