Ban the listing of sports prediction market contracts and casino-style games by CFTC-registered entities through federal legislation.

John W. Hickenlooper · Colorado · Democratic

policy impact 7.00 specificity 8.00 extraction confidence 97%

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Occurrences

Senators Adam Schiff and John Curtis introduced bipartisan legislation to prohibit CFTC-registered entities from listing prediction contracts related to sporting events. The bill also seeks to prohibit 'casino-style games' from being listed on these platforms.

Reported introduction of legislation to ban sports prediction contracts and casino-style games on CFTC-registered markets.

Sens. Schiff, Curtis Introduce Bipartisan Legislation to Ban Sports Prediction Market Contracts
primary · other · model gpt-4.1

The bicameral bill would ban betting through prediction markets on ... sports ... The STOP Corrupt Bets Act would: Explicitly prohibit event contracts on: ... Sports ... By preventing CFTC-regulated entities from listing or clearing these contracts—except in the narrow case of legitimate commercial hedging—the STOP Corrupt Bets Act would protect markets from manipulation and conflicts of interest.

The STOP Corrupt Bets Act would ban betting by CFTC-regulated entities on sports event contracts, except for legitimate commercial hedging purposes.

New Merkley, Raskin Legislation Bans Gambling on Elections, Sports, War, and Government Activity - Merkley
primary · other · model gpt-4.1

Evidence

The Senate’s first bipartisan bill seeking to regulate prediction markets would prohibit CFTC-registered entities from listing prediction contracts that resemble a sports bet or casino-style game, including contracts related to sporting events and casino-style games such as slot machine games, video poker, blackjack and bingo.

A federal bill was introduced to ban sports- and casino-style prediction contracts on CFTC-registered platforms, but the measure was not enacted in the source material.

partial same_term A for effort

Sens. Schiff, Curtis Introduce Bipartisan Legislation to Ban Sports Prediction Market Contracts
primary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 91%

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Hickenlooper and Murphy introduced the BETS OFF Act, legislation to ban wagering on government actions, terrorism, war, assassination, and events where an individual knows or controls the outcome; the bill also amends illegal gambling laws to shut down payment systems to illegal online platforms and impose criminal penalties on operators.

Hickenlooper pursued related anti-prediction-market legislation, but this bill targets war and government actions rather than sports prediction contracts or casino-style games.

unresolved same_term A for effort

Hickenlooper, Murphy Introduce Bicameral Bill to Ban Prediction Markets On War, Government Actions
primary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 77%

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Assessments

never same_term A for effort

The promised federal outcome was a statutory ban on sports prediction market contracts and casino-style games listed by CFTC-registered entities. The evidence shows such legislation was introduced in the Senate in March 2026, but not enacted, so the ban itself was not delivered. Hickenlooper also introduced related prediction-market legislation in the same term, but it targeted war, government actions, terrorism, assassination, and manipulable events rather than the specific sports/casino-style CFTC contract ban. That supports credit for a serious adjacent legislative effort, not fulfillment of the promised outcome.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 84%