Prevent insider trading by government officials on prediction markets.

Elissa Slotkin · Michigan · Democratic

policy impact 9.00 specificity 8.00 extraction confidence 95%

Contest this claim

Occurrences

U.S. Senators Elissa Slotkin (D-MI), Todd Young (R-IN), Adam Schiff (D-CA) and John Curtis (R-UT) today introduced the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Predictions Act to prevent insider trading by government officials on prediction markets.

Elissa Slotkin committed to preventing insider trading by government officials on prediction markets through the introduction of bipartisan legislation.

Slotkin, Young, Schiff, Curtis Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets
primary · press_release · model gpt-4.1

On March 27, 2026, Senator Adam Schiff (D-CA) joined Senators Elissa Slotkin (D-MI), Todd Young (R-IN), and John Curtis (R-UT) in introducing the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026. The legislation aims to prevent government officials from exploiting insider information in prediction markets.

Elissa Slotkin introduced bipartisan legislation to prevent government officials from exploiting insider information in prediction markets.

NEWS: Sen. Schiff Joins Sens. Slotkin, Young, Curtis on Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading by Government Officials on Prediction Markets
primary · other · model gpt-4.1

"This bill is an important first step in placing common sense rules around prediction markets, and it has real teeth to ensure those who break these rules face real consequences. I am proud of our bipartisan coalition, and I thank Senators Young, Schiff and Curtis for working with me to move this important bill forward."

Elissa Slotkin commits to advancing bipartisan legislation that bans government officials from using insider information to profit on prediction markets.

Curtis, Slotkin, Young, Schiff Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator John Curtis
primary · other · model gpt-4.1

Young, Slotkin Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets...The bill prohibits federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on a prediction market contract...This legislation would ban them from using non-material public information of any kind on any event contract...This bill is an important first step in placing common sense rules around prediction markets, and it has real teeth to ensure those who break these rules face real consequences.

Elissa Slotkin introduced bipartisan legislation to prevent government officials from engaging in insider trading by prohibiting them from using nonpublic information to participate in prediction market contracts.

Young, Slotkin Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator Young
primary · other · model gpt-4.1

Evidence

On March 26, 2026, Senators Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) and Todd Young (R-IN), along with Senators John Curtis (R-UT) and Adam Schiff (D-CA), introduced the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026. The bill aims to prohibit federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on prediction market contracts.

Senator Slotkin co-introduced legislation to prevent insider trading by government officials on prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

Young, Slotkin Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator Young
primary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 90%

Contest this evidence item

The Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, introduced by Senators Slotkin, Young, Curtis, and Schiff, seeks to ban federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to engage in prediction market contracts. The bill outlines penalties and enforcement mechanisms to uphold integrity in government.

Senator Slotkin co-introduced a bill targeting insider trading by government officials in prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

Curtis, Slotkin, Young, Schiff Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator John Curtis
primary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 90%

Contest this evidence item

On March 27, 2026, Senator Adam Schiff (D-CA) joined Senators Elissa Slotkin (D-MI), Todd Young (R-IN), and John Curtis (R-UT) in introducing the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026. The legislation aims to prevent government officials from exploiting insider information in prediction markets.

Senator Slotkin co-introduced bipartisan legislation to prevent insider trading by government officials on prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

NEWS: Sen. Schiff Joins Sens. Slotkin, Young, Curtis on Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading by Government Officials on Prediction Markets
primary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 90%

Contest this evidence item

On March 26, 2026, Senators John Curtis (R-UT), Elissa Slotkin (D-MI), Todd Young (R-IN), and Adam Schiff (D-CA) introduced the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026. The bill seeks to prohibit federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on prediction market contracts.

Senator Slotkin co-introduced a bill targeting insider trading by government officials in prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

Curtis, Slotkin, Young, Schiff Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator John Curtis
primary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 90%

Contest this evidence item

On March 27, 2026, Senator Adam Schiff (D-CA) joined Senators Elissa Slotkin (D-MI), Todd Young (R-IN), and John Curtis (R-UT) to introduce the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026. The legislation aims to prohibit federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on prediction market contracts.

Senator Slotkin co-introduced legislation to prevent insider trading by government officials on prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

NEWS: Sen. Schiff Joins Sens. Slotkin, Young, Curtis on Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading by Government Officials on Prediction Markets
primary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 90%

Contest this evidence item

On April 22, 2026, prediction market platform Kalshi fined and suspended three congressional candidates for five years for betting on their own election outcomes. The candidates involved were independent Mark Moran (Virginia Senate race), Republican Ezekiel Enriquez (Texas House race), and Democrat Matt Klein (Minnesota House race).

Three congressional candidates were fined and suspended for betting on their own election outcomes on a prediction market platform.

unresolved same_term

Kalshi fines and suspends 3 congressional candidates for wagering on their own elections
primary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 80%

Contest this evidence item

On January 12, 2026, Senator Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) joined eleven of her Senate colleagues in demanding answers from the Trump Administration's Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair Michael Selig on plans to combat insider trading, manipulation, and fraud in prediction markets.

Senator Slotkin urged the CFTC to address insider trading and fraud in prediction markets.

unresolved same_term A for effort

Slotkin Demands Trump Administration Do More to Combat Insider Trading in Prediction Markets
primary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 85%

Contest this evidence item

On March 30, 2026, Senator Mark R. Warner (D-VA) and over 40 other lawmakers wrote to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Office of Government Ethics (OGE) urging the agencies to address illegal insider trading in prediction markets by federal employees.

Senator Warner and colleagues urged regulatory agencies to address illegal insider trading in prediction markets by federal employees.

unresolved same_term A for effort

Warner, Colleagues Push Regulators to Address Illegal Insider Trading in Prediction Markets
primary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 85%

Contest this evidence item

On March 5, 2026, Senators Jeff Merkley (D-OR) and Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) introduced the End Prediction Market Corruption Act, a bill to ban the President, Vice President, Members of Congress, and other public officials from trading event contracts to prevent insider trading.

Senators Merkley and Klobuchar introduced legislation to ban federal officials from trading event contracts to prevent insider trading.

unresolved same_term A for effort

Merkley, Klobuchar Launch New Effort to Ban Federal Elected Officials Profiting from Prediction Markets
primary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 85%

Contest this evidence item

On March 26, 2026, Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR) and Representative Jamie Raskin (D-MD) introduced the STOP Corrupt Bets Act to ban betting through prediction markets on elections, government actions, sports, and military actions to prevent corruption.

Senator Merkley and Representative Raskin introduced legislation to ban betting on elections, government actions, sports, and military actions through prediction markets.

unresolved same_term A for effort

New Merkley, Raskin Legislation Bans Gambling on Elections, Sports, War, and Government Activity
primary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 85%

Contest this evidence item

Mar 26, 2026 | Press Release. U.S. Senators Elissa Slotkin, Todd Young, Adam Schiff and John Curtis today introduced the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Predications Markets Act of 2026. The bill prohibits federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on a prediction market contract.

Slotkin publicly introduced legislation targeting insider trading by government officials on prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

Slotkin, Young, Schiff, Curtis Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets
primary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 98%

Contest this evidence item

Tracker: Tip. This bill has the status Introduced. Latest Action: House - 01/09/2026 Referred to the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, and in addition to the Committee on House Administration, for a period to be subsequently determined by the Speaker.

Congress.gov shows the measure was only introduced and referred; there is no evidence here that it became law.

never same_term A for effort

H.R.7004 - Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 96%

Contest this evidence item

Shown Here: Introduced in House (01/09/2026). The bill text begins: 'To prohibit a covered individual from engaging in covered transactions involving prediction market contracts, and for other purposes.'

The official bill text confirms the policy target and that the proposal remained at introduction.

never same_term A for effort

Text - H.R.7004 - Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 95%

Contest this evidence item

Tracker: Tip | This bill has the status Introduced. Latest Action: House - 01/09/2026 Referred to the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, and in addition to the Committee on House Administration, for a period to be subsequently determined by the Speaker...

Congress.gov shows the House bill remained at introduction and referral, with no enacted prohibition or final congressional action.

never same_term A for effort

All Information (Except Text) for H.R.7004 - Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 98%

Contest this evidence item

Senators Elissa Slotkin, Todd Young, Adam Schiff and John Curtis today introduced the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Predications Markets Act of 2026. The bill prohibits federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on a prediction market contract.

Slotkin did take a concrete legislative step by co-introducing the bill, but this is only introduction and advocacy, not delivery of an actual prohibition.

partial same_term A for effort

Slotkin, Young, Schiff, Curtis Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets
primary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 95%

Contest this evidence item

During the DHS reconciliation bill markup, committee Republicans blocked all of Senator Elissa Slotkin’s amendments, including the amendment to tackle insider trading in prediction markets. The release says the amendment would provide the Office of Government Ethics the funding it needs to crack down on insider trading in prediction markets.

Slotkin made a concrete legislative push on prediction-market insider trading, but it was blocked in committee rather than delivered.

never same_term A for effort

Republicans Block Slotkin’s 5 Amendments to Stop Warehouse Detention, Ban Armed Federal Agents at our Polls, Prevent Ballot Seizures, Tackle Insider Trading, and Protect Free Speech
primary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 96%

Contest this evidence item

Senators Slotkin and colleagues said the Office of Government Ethics top post had been vacant for months, that no one was serving in an acting role, and that without an acting or permanent director OGE is unable to function as Congress intended.

The ethics-enforcement gap remained unresolved in the last lookback window, which undercuts any claim that a prediction-market insider-trading prohibition had been completed or enforced.

unresolved same_term A for effort

Slotkin, Schiff and Colleagues Press White House on Critical Office of Government Ethics Vacancy
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 91%

Contest this evidence item

Assessments

never same_term A for effort

Slotkin materially pursued the promise in her federal Senate role by co-introducing the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 and backing related oversight and amendment efforts. However, the evidence shows the bill remained introduced/referred and a later DHS markup amendment was blocked, with no enacted federal prohibition or completed enforcement regime preventing insider trading by government officials on prediction markets. Because there was a serious legislative attempt but the promised outcome was not delivered, this is a failed delivery with effort credit.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 97%

never same_term A for effort

Slotkin materially advanced the promise during her current federal term by co-introducing the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 and pressing regulators to address insider trading in prediction markets. However, the evidence shows only introduction, referral, and advocacy, with no enacted federal prohibition or completed regulatory outcome preventing government officials from insider trading on prediction markets. Because there was a serious legislative and oversight attempt but the promised outcome was not delivered, this should be scored as never with an effort badge.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 94%

never same_term A for effort

Slotkin materially advanced the promise during her current federal term by co-introducing the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 and pressing regulators on insider trading in prediction markets. However, the evidence shows only introduction, referral, and advocacy; it does not show enactment, final agency action, or another completed federal prohibition preventing government officials from insider trading on prediction markets. Because there was a serious legislative and oversight attempt but the promised outcome was not delivered, this is a failed delivery with an effort badge.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 94%

never same_term A for effort

Senator Elissa Slotkin co-introduced the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, directly addressing the promise. However, there is no evidence that the bill was passed into law. Additional efforts included public urging of regulatory bodies and participation in letters to agencies. While Slotkin made a significant legislative attempt, the outcome has not been realized during the term.

provider openai · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 95%

never same_term A for effort

Senator Slotkin co-introduced bipartisan legislation to prevent insider trading by government officials on prediction markets during her term. However, there is no evidence provided that the bill passed or became law; the actions referenced are limited to bill introduction. While this demonstrates a serious legislative attempt, the promise was not delivered as the policy outcome (enactment) was not achieved.

provider openai · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 90%