Support House rules that ban members of Congress, their families, and congressional staff from trading individual stocks and participating in prediction markets.

Michael Cloud · Texas · Republican

policy impact 0.68 specificity 0.86 extraction confidence 96%

Commitment kind: unknown. Promised action: not established. Promised outcome: not established. Deadline: unknown; not assumed expired.

Occurrences

urge immediate changes to the rules package for the 119th Congress to include a clear, enforceable ban on Members, their families, and staff trading in individual stocks and in prediction markets

Cloud joined a bipartisan letter urging House leadership to adopt rules banning congressional stock trading and prediction market trading.

Krishnamoorthi and Cloud Lead Bipartisan Push to Ban Congressional Stock Trading and Prediction Market Trading
primary · press_release · model gpt-5.4-mini

We are writing to urge immediate changes to the rules package for the 119th Congress to include a clear, enforceable ban on Members, their families, and staff trading in individual stocks and in prediction markets.

Cloud urges House rules changes to ban stock trading and prediction markets for members, families, and staff.

crow-letter-to-leadership-re-prediction-markets.pdf
secondary · other · model gpt-5.4-mini

Evidence

legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

Cloud’s office said he and Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi led a bipartisan group calling on House leadership to adopt new House rules prohibiting Members, their families, and staff from trading individual stocks and participating in prediction markets.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): Michael Cloud took a concrete public step toward the claim by leading a bipartisan letter urging House rules that would ban congressional stock trading and prediction market trading, but this is advocacy rather than enacted House policy.

partial same_term A for effort

Krishnamoorthi and Cloud Lead Bipartisan Push to Ban Congressional Stock Trading and Prediction Market Trading
primary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 96%

legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

The letter states that House rules should include a clear, enforceable ban on Members, their families, and staff trading in individual stocks and in prediction markets, and is signed by Michael Cloud.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): An official signed letter shows Cloud personally backed the requested House-rule change, but the document reflects a request for future action rather than a completed rule change.

partial same_term A for effort

crow-letter-to-leadership-re-prediction-markets.pdf
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 95%

legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

The Clerk recorded Cloud as voting Yea on passage of H.R. 7008, the Stop Insider Trading Act; the bill passed the House 232-198 on July 22, 2026.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): Cloud took an additional concrete step after the prior evidence by voting for a related stock-trading restriction bill that passed the House. This supports partial delivery because it advanced only part of the promised reform and still did not prove House rules were adopted.

partial same_term A for effort

Roll Call 280 | Bill Number: H. R. 7008
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 94%

legacy_unverified · Source version not recorded · locator unknown

The engrossed House text defines covered individuals as Members of Congress, spouses, and dependent children, bars covered individuals from purchasing covered investments, and states the bill passed the House on July 22, 2026. The text does not include congressional staff or prediction-market language.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): The House-passed bill partially overlaps with the commitment by restricting individual stock purchases for members and immediate family, but it falls short of the pledged House-rule ban covering staff and prediction markets and had not become enacted House rules in this text.

partial same_term A for effort

H.R. 7008 (EH) - Stop Insider Trading Act
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 93%

Assessments

Public state: unverified As of unknown · legacy_unverified · . Original AI recommendation (not independently established): partial. same_term A for effort

Cloud materially supported the promised policy in the same federal House term by signing and helping lead a bipartisan push for House rules barring Members, families, and staff from individual stock trading and prediction markets, and by voting for H.R. 7008, a related House-passed stock-trading restriction. However, the promised outcome was not fully delivered: the evidence shows advocacy and a House-passed bill, not adoption of House rules, and H.R. 7008 did not cover congressional staff or prediction markets. This warrants partial credit with an effort badge, not full delivery.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 93%

Public state: unverified As of unknown · legacy_unverified · . Original AI recommendation (not independently established): partial. same_term A for effort

Cloud materially supported the promised House-rule change during his current House term by leading and signing a bipartisan push asking House leadership to adopt rules banning members, families, and staff from individual stock trading and prediction-market participation. The provided evidence shows concrete advocacy, but not that the House actually adopted the rules or that the ban took effect, so the promised policy outcome was not fully delivered.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 94%