Ban members of Congress, their families, and congressional staff from trading individual stocks and participating in prediction markets.

Jason Crow · Colorado · Democratic

policy impact 4.00 specificity 5.00 extraction confidence 98%

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Occurrences

Crow is calling on Speaker Mike Johnson to immediately ban members of the U.S. House of Representatives, their families, and congressional staff from trading in individual stocks and participating in prediction markets.

Crow urges an immediate House rule change to prohibit stock trading and prediction-market participation by members, families, and staff.

Crow Seeks to Ban Members of Congress from Stock Trading, Insider Trading on Prediction Markets | Representative Jason Crow
primary · press_release · model gpt-5.4-mini

Crow is also calling on the U.S. House to ban its members from insider trading on prediction markets, and he’s an original cosponsor of the TRUST in Congress Act to ban members of Congress and their families from owning or trading stocks.

Crow supports banning members of Congress and their families from trading stocks and from insider trading on prediction markets.

Crow Introduces Legislation to Crack Down on Presidential Corruption, Restore Checks and Balances | Representative Jason Crow
primary · press_release · model gpt-5.4-mini

urge immediate changes to the rules package for the 119th Congress to include a clear, enforceable ban on Members, their families, and staff trading in individual stocks and in prediction markets

Crow urges House leadership to adopt a rules-package ban on stock trading and prediction markets for members, families, and staff.

crow-letter-to-leadership-re-prediction-markets.pdf
primary · other · model gpt-5.4-mini

Evidence

"We are writing to urge immediate changes to the rules package for the 119th Congress to include a clear, enforceable ban on Members, their families, and staff trading in individual stocks and in prediction markets." Jason Crow is listed among the signers on page 2.

Crow joined a bipartisan House letter seeking an immediate House-rules ban on congressional stock trading and prediction-market participation by members, families, and staff.

partial same_term A for effort

crow-letter-to-leadership-re-prediction-markets.pdf
primary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 97%

Contest this evidence item

Crow said the House "should amend its rules, which currently do not address prediction markets or stock trading" and called for a ban on members, their families, and congressional staff from trading individual stocks and participating in prediction markets.

Crow publicly pushed House leadership to adopt a ban through the rules package, showing active effort but not enacted delivery.

partial same_term A for effort

Crow Seeks to Ban Members of Congress from Stock Trading, Insider Trading on Prediction Markets | Representative Jason Crow
primary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 95%

Contest this evidence item

House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer sent letters to Kalshi and Polymarket on May 22, 2026 demanding records on identity verification, geographic restrictions, and suspicious transactions by June 5, saying "there's a concern now that members of Congress, members of the president's administration, any type of government employee, can use basic insider knowledge and make huge profits on anything government-related."

Congress was still probing prediction markets for insider-trading risks during the lookback window, but this was investigation and not adoption of Crow's requested ban, so the commitment remained unresolved.

unresolved same_term

Oversight Chair James Comer demands info from Kalshi, Polymarket CEOs over alleged insider trading
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 66%

Contest this evidence item

On June 10, 2026, Axios reported that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission released proposed rules to permit sports event contracts on prediction markets, with a 90-day comment period before finalization.

The federal policy direction in the last lookback window was toward formalizing and expanding prediction markets, not toward a congressional ban on lawmakers' participation, which supports an unresolved status rather than delivery.

unresolved same_term

Feds move to formally allow sports 'trading' on prediction markets
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 61%

Contest this evidence item

Assessments

partial same_term A for effort

Crow clearly advocated this policy in office, including publicly calling for a House rules ban and signing a bipartisan letter urging leadership to prohibit members, their families, and staff from trading individual stocks and participating in prediction markets. But the available evidence shows advocacy and pressure on House leadership, not actual adoption of the ban. Because Crow materially advanced the promise without securing enactment, this is partial rather than delivered.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.4 · confidence 91%

never same_term A for effort

Crow materially advanced the promised policy during his current federal House term by publicly urging House leadership to change the 119th Congress rules package and by signing a bipartisan letter calling for a clear ban on members, families, and staff trading individual stocks and participating in prediction markets. However, the evidence only shows advocacy and a rules-change request, not adoption of the ban or enactment into binding House rules or federal law. Because the promised outcome was not delivered despite a serious attempt, this is a failed delivery with an effort badge rather than partial or delivered.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 94%