Ban prediction market participation by his congressional staff.

Seth Moulton · Massachusetts · Democratic

policy impact 2.00 specificity 8.00 extraction confidence 98%

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Occurrences

Congressman Moulton Formalizes Office Policy Banning Staff Participation in Prediction Markets

Moulton announced an office-wide policy effective immediately prohibiting staff from participating in prediction market platforms to trade or hold positions on political, legislative, regulatory, geopolitical outcomes, or other information learned in an official capacity.

Congressman Moulton Formalizes Office Policy Banning Staff Participation in Prediction Markets | Congressman Seth Moulton
primary · press_release · model gpt-5.4-mini

introduced the Campaign Event Contract Integrity Act, legislation that would close a loophole that allows campaign insiders to profit off confidential information in political prediction markets

Moulton and Torres introduced legislation to prohibit campaign insiders from trading on political prediction markets using confidential information.

Moulton and Torres Introduce Legislation to Ban Campaign Insiders From Trading on Political Prediction Markets | Congressman Seth Moulton
primary · press_release · model gpt-5.4-mini

Evidence

The embedded official post states: "Effective today, Congressman Moulton is instituting an office-wide policy prohibiting his congressional staff from participating in prediction market platforms, such as Polymarket and Kalshi."

Moulton's official congressional press account announced an effective-immediately office policy banning his congressional staff from participating in prediction market platforms.

delivered same_term

Rep. Seth Moulton Press Office X post
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 93%

Contest this evidence item

Business Insider reported that Democratic Rep. Seth Moulton "recently became the first member of Congress to publicly announce that he would ban his staff from making bets on platforms like Kalshi or Polymarket" and reproduced the official March 25, 2026 Press Office post announcing the office-wide policy.

Independent reporting confirms Moulton publicly announced a staff prediction-market ban and quotes the official office-wide policy language.

delivered same_term

Work on Capitol Hill? Your boss may want to ban you from betting on prediction markets
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 91%

Contest this evidence item

Congress.gov identifies Seth Moulton as "Representative Seth Moulton" and lists him as Democratic, House Massachusetts District 6, 114th-119th Congresses, 2015-Present.

Official congressional records establish that Moulton was serving as a U.S. House member for Massachusetts's 6th District during the 119th Congress, the term in which the staff policy was announced.

partial same_term

Representative Seth Moulton | Congress.gov | Library of Congress
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 86%

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Assessments

delivered same_term

Moulton was serving as a U.S. representative when his congressional press office announced an effective-immediately office-wide policy prohibiting his congressional staff from participating in prediction market platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi. Because the promise concerned his own congressional staff and was implemented directly by his office during the same federal term, this counts as delivered with same_term timing.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 93%