Introduce and support legislation to regulate prediction markets by banning listings related to war, death, and military action; enforcing rules against insider trading and market manipulation; requiring consumer protections; and preserving state gambling regulatory authority.

Richard Blumenthal · Connecticut · Democratic

policy impact 0.70 specificity 0.86 extraction confidence 88%

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Occurrences

My measure—the Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act—puts guardrails on this out-of-control industry. It bans dangerous and unethical bets and protects consumers from fraud and other predatory practices.

Blumenthal introduced and promoted the Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act to regulate prediction markets with federal guardrails, bans on dangerous bets, consumer protections, and limits on federal preemption of state gambling rules.

[2026-03-11] Blumenthal Introduces New Legislation to Regulate...
primary · press_release · model gpt-5.5

Evidence

GovInfo lists S. 4060, the Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act of 2026, as introduced by Richard Blumenthal with Andy Kim on March 11, 2026 and referred to Senate Judiciary.

Official congressional publication record confirms Blumenthal introduced the relevant prediction-markets bill during his current Senate term.

delivered same_term A for effort

S. 4060 (IS) - Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act of 2026 - Content Details
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 98%

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The bill text prohibits use of material nonpublic information, manipulation, and listings that relate to war, military action, or death.

Official bill text matches the promise elements on insider trading, market manipulation, and banning war/death/military-action listings.

delivered same_term A for effort

S. 4060 Introduced in Senate - Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act of 2026
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 97%

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The bill requires state wagering programs, self-exclusion, disclosures, affordability checks, AI limits, advertising restrictions, licensing, age/location verification, and state enforcement authority.

Official bill text covers the consumer protection and state gambling regulatory authority components of the promise.

delivered same_term A for effort

S. 4060 Introduced in Senate - Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act of 2026
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 95%

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Section 11 preserves state and tribal authority to enforce stricter prediction-market laws and bars online prediction-market event contracts under the Commodity Exchange Act.

Official bill text directly addresses preserving state gambling authority and reversing federal preemption of state oversight.

delivered same_term A for effort

S. 4060 Introduced in Senate - Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act of 2026
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 95%

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Blumenthal announced his Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act, saying it bans unethical bets, addresses insider trading and manipulation, protects consumers, and returns regulatory authority to states.

Blumenthal's official Senate release confirms both introduction and his public support for the legislation's core regulatory provisions.

delivered same_term A for effort

[2026-03-11] Blumenthal Introduces New Legislation to Regulate...
primary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 96%

Contest this evidence item

Blumenthal pressed the CFTC on prediction-market oversight and described himself as author of the Act, saying it would require clear terms and responsibility for bet resolution.

A later official Senate action shows continued support and advancement of the same prediction-markets regulatory agenda after introduction.

delivered same_term A for effort

[2026-04-21] Blumenthal Calls Out Prediction Markets' Failure to...
primary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 90%

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Assessments

delivered same_term

Blumenthal fulfilled the promise as framed because it required introducing and supporting legislation, not securing enactment. Official records and Senate materials show he introduced S. 4060, the Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act of 2026, during his current Senate term, and the bill contains the promised bans on war, death, and military-action listings; insider trading and manipulation rules; consumer protections; and preservation of state and tribal regulatory authority. His later CFTC oversight letter also shows continued support for the same agenda.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 96%