We urge you to issue a general order or regulation to prohibit all military and civilian personnel from utilizing prediction markets to place bets on any national security related topic.
Prohibit military and civilian Department of Defense personnel from using prediction markets to bet on national security-related topics and hold violators accountable under the Uniform Code of Military Justice.
Occurrences
Evidence
Vindman said he sent Polymarket a letter demanding preservation and disclosure of records tied to bets on U.S. military actions, citing concerns that sensitive or classified information may have been used for personal profit.
Assessments
Vindman took a concrete official step on the same issue by demanding records from Polymarket about bets tied to U.S. military actions, which shows engagement with the promised policy area. But the evidence does not show that he actually prohibited DoD personnel from using prediction markets or established UCMJ accountability, so the core promise was not delivered.