Prohibit federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on prediction market contracts.

Todd Young · Indiana · Republican

policy impact 8.00 specificity 9.00 extraction confidence 99%

Contest this claim

Occurrences

Our bill will prohibit elected officials, staff, and executive branch employees from trading prediction market event contracts based on information acquired as part of their official duties. This is a sensible step to protect taxpayers and promote integrity in government.

Todd Young committed to supporting legislation to prohibit federal officials and employees from using insider information to trade in prediction markets.

Young, Slotkin Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator Young
primary · press_release · model gpt-4.1

Today, U.S. Senators Todd Young (R-Ind.), Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.), John Curtis (R-Utah), and Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) today introduced the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026. The bill prohibits federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on a prediction market contract. ... Our bill will prohibit elected officials, staff, and executive branch employees from trading prediction market event contracts based on information acquired as part of their official duties.

Todd Young has introduced bipartisan legislation to prohibit federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to trade on prediction market contracts.

Young, Slotkin Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator Young
primary · press_release · model gpt-4.1

Our bill will prohibit elected officials, staff, and executive branch employees from trading prediction market event contracts based on information acquired as part of their official duties. This is a sensible step to protect taxpayers and promote integrity in government.

Young committed to supporting a bill that would prohibit federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to trade prediction market event contracts.

Young leads bipartisan bill to stop government officials from insider trading on prediction markets
secondary · other · model gpt-4.1

Public Integrity Act Led by Sens. Todd Young (R-IN) and Elissa Slotkin (D-MI). Bans all federal employees and their families from trading any prediction market contracts — the broadest proposed prohibition.

Todd Young is sponsoring the Public Integrity Act, which would ban all federal employees and their families from trading any prediction market contracts.

Government Insider Trading | Democrats Target Prediction Markets 2026 | ObjectWire
secondary · other · model gpt-4.1

US lawmakers Todd Young, Elissa Slotkin, John Curtis and Adam Schiff unveiled the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026...the bill proposes to prohibit government officials from using insider information to bet on prediction market contracts, with fines up to double the amount of profits.

Todd Young introduced legislation to prohibit government officials from using insider information on prediction markets, penalizing violations with forfeitures or fines.

Bill Proposes To Stop Government Officials Betting on Prediction Markets
secondary · other · model gpt-4.1

Senator Adam Schiff joined Senators Slotkin, Young, and Curtis in introducing the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, aiming to prohibit government officials from using insider information on prediction markets.

Todd Young pledged to prohibit government officials from using insider information on prediction markets by introducing the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026.

NEWS: Sen. Schiff Joins Sens. Slotkin, Young, Curtis on Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading by Government Officials on Prediction Markets
secondary · other · model gpt-4.1

A bipartisan group of senators, including Todd Young, introduced legislation requiring lawmakers and government employees to disclose any bets placed through prediction markets to prevent profiting from privileged information.

Introduced legislation requiring disclosure of prediction market bets by lawmakers and government employees to prevent insider profiting.

Senate Bill Seeks to Curb Insider Bets on Prediction Markets
secondary · other · model gpt-4.1

Our bill will prohibit elected officials, staff, and executive branch employees from trading prediction market event contracts based on information acquired as part of their official duties.

Todd Young made a commitment, as a lead sponsor, to support legislation that prohibits federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to trade on prediction market contracts.

Curtis, Slotkin, Young, Schiff Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator John Curtis
secondary · other · model gpt-4.1

Our bill will prohibit elected officials, staff, and executive branch employees from trading prediction market event contracts based on information acquired as part of their official duties.

Todd Young commits to prohibiting elected officials, staff, and executive branch employees from trading prediction market event contracts using insider information gained through official duties.

Young, Slotkin Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator Young
primary · press_release · model gpt-4.1

Sens. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI), Todd Young (R-IN), Adam Schiff (D-CA), and John Curtis (R-UT) are leading the bipartisan effort behind the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, which would ban government officials from using insider information to profit from event contracts.

Young is a lead sponsor of legislation that would bar covered public officials and employees from using nonpublic information to trade prediction market contracts.

Bipartisan Group of Senators Introduces Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act
secondary · other · model gpt-5.4-mini

Evidence

On March 26, 2026, Senator Todd Young, along with Senators Elissa Slotkin, John Curtis, and Adam Schiff, introduced the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026. The bill aims to prohibit federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on prediction market contracts.

Senator Todd Young co-introduced legislation to ban government officials from using insider information on prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

Young, Slotkin Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator Young
primary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 0%

Contest this evidence item

The Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, introduced by Senators Curtis, Slotkin, Young, and Schiff, seeks to prohibit federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on prediction market contracts.

Bipartisan legislation introduced to prevent government officials from leveraging insider information in prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

Curtis, Slotkin, Young, Schiff Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator John Curtis
secondary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 0%

Contest this evidence item

Senator Adam Schiff joined Senators Slotkin, Young, and Curtis in introducing the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, aiming to prohibit government officials from using insider information on prediction markets.

Senator Schiff co-introduced a bill with Senators Slotkin, Young, and Curtis to ban insider trading by government officials on prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

NEWS: Sen. Schiff Joins Sens. Slotkin, Young, Curtis on Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading by Government Officials on Prediction Markets
secondary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 0%

Contest this evidence item

On March 20, 2026, Senator Todd Young announced his support for two bills aimed at restricting stock trading by members of Congress, including the Restore Trust in Congress Act and the Stop Insider Trading Act.

Senator Young supports legislation to ban stock trading by members of Congress to restore public trust.

partial same_term A for effort

Young Supports Bills to Ban Stock Trading by Members of Congress, Help Restore Public Trust
primary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 0%

Contest this evidence item

A bipartisan group of senators, including Todd Young, introduced legislation requiring lawmakers and government employees to disclose any bets placed through prediction markets to prevent profiting from privileged information.

Senator Young co-introduced a bill mandating disclosure of prediction market bets by government officials to curb insider trading.

partial same_term A for effort

Senate Bill Seeks to Curb Insider Bets on Prediction Markets
secondary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 0%

Contest this evidence item

US lawmakers, including Todd Young, introduced the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 to prohibit government officials from using insider information to bet on prediction market contracts.

Senator Young co-introduced legislation to prevent government officials from using insider information on prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

Bill Proposes To Stop Government Officials Betting on Prediction Markets
secondary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 0%

Contest this evidence item

Senator Todd Young, along with Senators Slotkin, Curtis, and Schiff, introduced the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 to prohibit government officials from using insider information on prediction markets.

Senator Young co-introduced a bipartisan bill to ban insider trading by government officials on prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

Young leads bipartisan bill to stop government officials from insider trading on prediction markets
secondary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 0%

Contest this evidence item

A coalition of over 40 Democratic lawmakers sent a letter to the CFTC and OGE demanding guidance to prevent federal employees from using non-public information to profit on prediction market platforms.

Democratic lawmakers urged regulatory bodies to issue guidance against federal employees using insider information on prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

Government Insider Trading | Democrats Target Prediction Markets 2026 | ObjectWire
secondary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 0%

Contest this evidence item

On March 26, 2026, Senator Todd Young co-introduced the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, aiming to prohibit federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on prediction market contracts.

Senator Young co-introduced a bipartisan bill to ban insider trading by government officials on prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

Young, Slotkin Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator Young
primary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 95%

Contest this evidence item

The Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, introduced on March 25, 2026, was read twice and referred to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.

The bill was introduced and referred to committee but has not progressed further.

never same_term A for effort

S. 4188 (IS) - Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 - BILLS-119s4188is | Content Details | GovInfo
secondary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 95%

Contest this evidence item

A bipartisan group of senators introduced legislation on March 26, 2026, requiring lawmakers and government employees to disclose any bets placed through prediction markets to prevent profiting from privileged information.

Legislation introduced to require disclosure of prediction market bets by government officials.

partial same_term A for effort

Senate Bill Seeks to Curb Insider Bets on Prediction Markets
secondary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 95%

Contest this evidence item

On March 27, 2026, Senator Adam Schiff joined Senators Slotkin, Young, and Curtis to introduce the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Markets Act of 2026, prohibiting federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on prediction market contracts.

Senator Schiff co-introduced a bipartisan bill to ban insider trading by government officials on prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

NEWS: Sen. Schiff Joins Sens. Slotkin, Young, Curtis on Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading by Government Officials on Prediction Markets
secondary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 95%

Contest this evidence item

On March 26, 2026, Senators Curtis, Slotkin, Young, and Schiff introduced the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 to prohibit government officials from using insider information on prediction markets.

Bipartisan legislation introduced to prevent government officials from leveraging insider information in prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

Curtis, Slotkin, Young, Schiff Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator John Curtis
secondary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 95%

Contest this evidence item

On January 9, 2026, Representative Ritchie Torres introduced H.R. 7004, the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, which was referred to the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform and the Committee on House Administration.

House bill introduced to regulate prediction markets, referred to committees.

never same_term A for effort

H.R. 7004: Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 | The Congressional Bill Digest
secondary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 95%

Contest this evidence item

As of April 17, 2026, the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act remains listed in the Congressional Record Index without further legislative action.

The bill remains listed without further legislative action as of April 17, 2026.

never same_term A for effort

CRI2026 - PUBLIC INTEGRITY IN FINANCIAL PREDICTION MARKETS ACT - CRI-2026-PUBLIC-INTEGRITY-IN-FINANCIAL-PRED-876DDE | Document in Context | GovInfo
secondary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 95%

Contest this evidence item

On March 27, 2026, a bipartisan group of senators introduced the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act to prohibit government officials from using insider information to profit from event contracts.

Bipartisan bill introduced to ban insider trading by government officials on prediction markets.

partial same_term A for effort

Bipartisan Group of Senators Introduces Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act
secondary · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 95%

Contest this evidence item

On March 26, 2026, Senator Todd Young and colleagues introduced the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026. The press release says the bill prohibits federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on prediction market contracts.

Young publicly backed and co-introduced a bill matching the promise's substance.

partial same_term A for effort

Young, Slotkin Lead Bipartisan Bill to Stop Insider Trading from Government Officials on Prediction Markets - Senator Young
primary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 98%

Contest this evidence item

GovInfo shows S. 4188 was introduced in the Senate on March 25, 2026, read twice, and referred to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.

The Senate bill was introduced and sent to committee, confirming concrete legislative action.

partial same_term A for effort

S. 4188 (IS) - Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 - BILLS-119s4188is | Content Details | GovInfo
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 99%

Contest this evidence item

The Congressional Record Index entry remains for the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act as of April 17, 2026, with no further legislative progress reflected in the record index entry.

Official congressional indexing shows the measure existed but had not advanced further.

never same_term A for effort

CRI2026 - Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act - GovInfo Congressional Record Index
secondary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 92%

Contest this evidence item

Six days before the prediction-market bill announcement, Young said he supported bills to ban stock trading by members of Congress and wanted such a ban to become law.

Young had already articulated support for related anti-conflict ethics restrictions, consistent with the broader promise.

partial same_term A for effort

Young Supports Bills to Ban Stock Trading by Members of Congress, Help Restore Public Trust
primary · model gpt-5.4-mini · confidence 76%

Contest this evidence item

Assessments

never same_term A for effort

Todd Young co-introduced S. 4188, the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, which directly matched the promise by seeking to prohibit federally elected officials and government employees from using insider information to bet on prediction market contracts. However, the evidence only shows introduction, reading, and referral to committee, with no passage or implemented prohibition. Because Young made a concrete legislative attempt but the promised policy was not enacted, this is best scored as not delivered with an effort badge.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 97%

never same_term A for effort

Young made a concrete same-term legislative attempt by co-introducing S. 4188, the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, which directly matches the promised prohibition. However, the evidence shows the bill was only introduced, read twice, and referred to committee, with no indication that it passed or became enforceable law. Because the promised policy outcome was not delivered, but Young did materially advance matching legislation, this is a failed delivery with an effort badge rather than partial credit or full delivery.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 93%

never same_term A for effort

Todd Young co-introduced S. 4188, the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, during his current Senate term, and the bill directly matches the promise by seeking to prohibit federally elected officials and government employees from using material nonpublic information in prediction market contracts. However, the available official status shows only introduction, second reading, and referral to committee, with no enactment or final legal prohibition. This is a serious legislative attempt but not delivery of the promised outcome.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 94%

never same_term A for effort

Senator Todd Young co-introduced the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act in 2026, matching the substance of the campaign promise. However, there is no evidence the bill or any related legislation passed, was enacted, or implemented during the term. The bill remained in committee with no further legislative action, indicating an effort was made but the promise was not fulfilled.

provider openai · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 97%

never same_term A for effort

Senator Todd Young made a significant, bipartisan legislative effort by co-introducing the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 and supporting similar legislative initiatives. However, based on the provided evidence, there is no indication that these bills were passed into law or that a legal prohibition was enacted. Therefore, while the effort was substantial and fulfilled the intent of attempting delivery, the policy promise to prohibit use of insider information by government officials on prediction markets was not legally delivered.

provider openai · model gpt-4.1 · confidence 95%