The Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act addresses these issues by establishing federal consumer protections and returning regulatory authority to the states. The Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act is cosponsored by U.S. Senator Andy Kim (D-NJ).
Support the Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act to establish federal consumer protections for prediction markets, return regulatory authority to states, and restrict dangerous or unethical betting markets.
Occurrences
Evidence
Business Insider reported that Sen. Richard Blumenthal introduced the Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act in March 2026; it would ban insider trading, require age verification for users under 21, restrict AI targeting of gamblers, and open prediction-market platforms to state laws. The article also stated that none of the bills were close to becoming law.
CT Insider reported that Blumenthal announced the Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act and described it as establishing federal consumer protections, allowing states to regulate prediction markets like gambling, banning dangerous and unethical bets, addressing gambling addiction and predatory advertising, and protecting consumers from fraud.
The Wall Street Journal reported that Sen. Richard Blumenthal introduced legislation with Sen. Andy Kim to ban prediction markets related to war or military action. The article also quoted Kim saying corruption and exploitation were thriving in prediction-market loopholes.
AP reported that the Senate unanimously approved a bipartisan rules resolution banning senators and staff from participating in prediction markets, effective immediately after a voice vote.
Business Insider reported that several federal prediction-market bills had been introduced, including the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, but none had passed yet. It also reported that the CFTC sued Minnesota after the state enacted its own prediction-market ban.
Investor's Business Daily reported that the CFTC sued Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois over state efforts to regulate event contracts, asserting exclusive federal jurisdiction over prediction markets under the Commodity Exchange Act.
Assessments
Kim materially advanced the promised policy by joining/introducing prediction-market legislation aimed at consumer protections, state regulatory authority, and bans on dangerous or unethical markets. However, the core promised outcome was not enacted: the Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act had not passed, federal regulators were still asserting jurisdiction against state regulation, and the Senate ethics ban was only a narrower restriction on senators and staff rather than the promised market-wide framework. This is a serious legislative attempt without delivery of the promised outcome.