Pass a Tax Cuts and Jobs Act 2.0 in 2025 to help families, especially lower-income families.

Steve Scalise · Louisiana · Republican

policy impact 0.80 specificity 0.72 extraction confidence 86%

Commitment kind: unknown. Promised action: not established. Promised outcome: not established. Deadline: unknown; not assumed expired.

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Occurrences

I think you're going to see a Tax Cuts and Jobs Act 2.0 come out next year in 2025 that's going to work incredibly well for families, especially those lower-income families who are struggling under this Biden economy.

Scalise predicted and supported a 2025 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act 2.0 focused on helping families, especially lower-income families.

Scalise Discusses Trump, House GOP Economic Agenda on Squawk Box | Majority Leader
secondary · other · model gpt-5.5

Evidence

unverified · Source version 2748 · locator unknown

Congress.gov records H.R. 1 as sponsored by Rep. Jodey Arrington, introduced May 20, 2025, passed the House May 22, passed the Senate July 1, agreed to by the House July 3, and became Public Law No. 119-21 on July 4, 2025. The CRS summary says the act reduces taxes and includes a finance title whose first chapter makes permanent multiple individual federal tax provisions enacted in 2017 by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): A 2025 reconciliation tax law extending major TCJA provisions was enacted as Public Law 119-21, satisfying the core 'pass a TCJA 2.0 in 2025' portion of the promise.

partial same_term A for effort

H.R.1 - 119th Congress (2025-2026): An act to provide for reconciliation pursuant to title II of H. Con. Res. 14
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 94%

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unverified · Source version 37703 · locator unknown

The House Clerk records Roll Call 190 on July 3, 2025, on the motion to concur in the Senate amendment to H.R. 1, One Big Beautiful Bill Act. The vote status was Passed, 218 Aye to 214 No. The roll call lists Scalise, Republican, Louisiana, as voting Aye.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): Scalise voted for the final House approval of the 2025 reconciliation tax bill before it became law.

partial same_term A for effort

Roll Call 190 | Bill Number: H. R. 1
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 96%

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unverified · Source version 2748 · locator unknown

The Congress.gov CRS summary states that Title VII, Finance, Subtitle A, Tax, Chapter 1 is titled 'Providing Permanent Tax Relief for Middle-Class Families and Workers.' It says the chapter makes permanent multiple individual federal tax provisions enacted in 2017 by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, makes permanent the 10%, 12%, 22%, 24%, 32%, 35%, and 37% individual rates, permanently increases the standard deduction, and increases the maximum child tax credit to $2,200 per qualifying child beginning in 2025 with inflation indexing beginning in 2026.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): The enacted law contains family-facing tax provisions, including TCJA rate extensions, a larger standard deduction, and a larger child tax credit.

partial same_term A for effort

H.R.1 - 119th Congress (2025-2026): An act to provide for reconciliation pursuant to title II of H. Con. Res. 14
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 92%

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unverified · Source version 55067 · locator unknown

CBO estimated that, as a result of P.L. 119-21, resources will decrease for households toward the bottom of the income distribution and increase for households in the middle and toward the top. CBO also estimated that federal and state in-kind transfers will decrease household resources by $900 billion, primarily because federal spending on Medicaid and SNAP benefits will be lower.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): The enacted law did not especially help lower-income families on CBO's distributional measure; it reduced resources toward the bottom of the income distribution.

partial same_term A for effort

Distributional Effects of Public Law 119-21 | Congressional Budget Office
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 95%

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unverified · Source version 37705 · locator unknown

CBO's interactive explains that Public Law 119-21 affects household resources through federal taxes and cash transfers, federal and state in-kind transfers such as Medicaid, state fiscal responses, and other spending and revenues. It states that decreases in federal spending on Medicaid and SNAP will reduce resources available to households, with Medicaid changes allocated to participants who will not enroll or will receive fewer benefits and SNAP changes allocated to program participants.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): CBO identifies Medicaid and SNAP reductions as lowering household resources, a key reason the lower-income-family part of the promise is not fully delivered.

partial same_term A for effort

How the 2025 Reconciliation Act (Public Law 119-21) Will Affect the Distribution of Resources Available to Households
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 93%

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unverified · Source version 37706 · locator unknown

CBO's June 4, 2025 cost estimate covers H.R. 1 as passed by the House on May 22, 2025. Its related publications include distributional effects, household resource effects, and estimates of effects on the number of uninsured people resulting from policies incorporated in H.R. 1.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): Before enactment, nonpartisan scorekeeping treated the bill as a major tax-and-spending package with distributional and health coverage consequences, not simply a family tax cut.

partial same_term A for effort

Estimated Budgetary Effects of H.R. 1, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 86%

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unverified · Source version 55066 · locator unknown

September 15, 2026 Purpose (1) This transmits a revised IRM 21.6.2, Individual Tax Returns, Adjusting TIN-Related Problems. Material Changes (8) IRM 21.6.2.1.2 - Updated authority to Working Families Tax Cuts (WFTC), formerly One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBBA), in accordance with guidance from the Treasury Public Affairs Office.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): During the 2026-09-14 to 2026-09-16 lookback, IRS updated internal guidance to refer to the enacted tax package as Working Families Tax Cuts, formerly One Big Beautiful Bill, indicating continued implementation rather than reversal or abandonment.

partial same_term A for effort

21.6.2 Adjusting TIN-Related Problems | Internal Revenue Service
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 88%

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verified · Source version 55067 · locator 4459

CBO estimates that as result of P.L. 119-21, resources will decrease for households toward the bottom of the income distribution, whereas resources will increase for households in the middle and toward the top of the income distribution.

Fetched verbatim passage. AI summary (separate from source): CBO’s distributional analysis supports keeping the promise at partial: a 2025 TCJA-style tax law was enacted, but the official distributional estimate undercuts the claim that it especially helped lower-income families.

partial same_term A for effort

Distributional Effects of Public Law 119-21 | Congressional Budget Office
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 94%

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unverified · Source version 67865 · locator unknown

Sept. 23, 2026 Employers that provide paid family and medical leave to their employees may be eligible for the Employer Credit for Paid Family and Medical Leave, recently enhanced under the Working Families Tax Cuts This credit is now permanent. Eligible employers can claim a general business tax credit from 12.5% to 25% of wages paid to qualifying employees for up to 12 weeks of family and medical leave per taxable year.

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): During the 2026-09-23 to 2026-09-25 lookback, IRS published new implementation guidance for a family-related tax provision under the Working Families Tax Cuts, showing the enacted 2025 law remains in implementation. This supports the existing partial rating because it confirms delivery of some family-facing tax benefits without resolving the lower-income distribution concern.

partial same_term A for effort

Employers: The Paid Family and Medical Leave Tax Credit is now even more valuable | Internal Revenue Service
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 90%

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unverified · Source version 79700 · locator unknown

"as added by section 70411 of Public Law 119-21, 139 Stat. 72 (July 4, 2025)"

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): During the lookback window, Treasury and IRS published temporary regulations for a scholarship tax credit created by Public Law 119-21, showing continued implementation of the enacted 2025 tax package rather than reversal or abandonment.

partial same_term A for effort

Federal Register, Volume 91 Issue 190 (Friday, October 2, 2026)
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 90%

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unverified · Source version 79702 · locator unknown

"not greater than 300 percent of the area median gross income"

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): The same-day proposed rule set income-related eligibility parameters for scholarship recipients, indicating a family-facing implementation step under the 2025 law. This supports partial delivery but does not overcome the existing CBO evidence that the law reduced resources toward the bottom of the income distribution overall.

partial same_term A for effort

Federal Register :: Federal Scholarship Tax Credit
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 86%

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unverified · Source version 91191 · locator unknown

"This notice requests comments on issues arising under § 1400Z-2 of the Internal Revenue Code (Code), as amended by § 70421 of Public Law 119-21"

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): In the lookback window, IRS published Notice 2026-55 in the Internal Revenue Bulletin seeking comments on implementation issues for Public Law 119-21 opportunity-zone amendments, showing continued administrative implementation of the enacted 2025 tax package.

partial same_term A for effort

Internal Revenue Bulletin: 2026-42 | Internal Revenue Service
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 86%

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unverified · Source version 91193 · locator unknown

"Beginning January 1, 2027, individual taxpayers may contribute to an approved K-12 Scholarship Granting Organization, or SGO, and receive a dollar-for-dollar federal income tax credit of up to $1,700 each year."

Unverified model/legacy excerpt; not proof. AI summary (separate from source): During the lookback window, the Wyoming Department of Education announced state-level applications for scholarship granting organizations under the federal tax credit scholarship program created by the Working Families Tax Cuts Act, indicating continuing implementation of a family-facing tax-credit provision while not resolving the lower-income distribution concern.

partial same_term A for effort

WDE Opens Applications for Scholarship Granting Organizations under the Federal Tax Credit Scholarship Program
secondary · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 82%

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Assessments

Public state: unverified As of unknown · legacy_unverified · . Original AI recommendation (not independently established): partial. same_term A for effort

A 2025 reconciliation tax law extending major Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions became Public Law 119-21, and Scalise voted for final House passage, so the core promise to pass a TCJA-style tax package in 2025 was substantially advanced in the relevant federal term. However, the promise specifically emphasized helping families, especially lower-income families, and CBO found the enacted law reduced resources for households toward the bottom of the income distribution, largely through Medicaid and SNAP changes, while increasing resources for middle- and higher-income households. That supports partial rather than full delivery.

provider codex_cli · model gpt-5.5 · confidence 93%