50

John R. Moolenaar

U.S. Representative, Michigan 2nd District · Michigan · Republican · Roster snapshot 2026-04-22
Serving in office Scheduled research active Main board
The signal is improving, but the lifetime record is still thin.

This profile keeps a lifetime office and promise record. The trust score is designed to stay close to 50 until enough claims and evidence are reviewed.

Breakdown

  • Delivered during the term promised: 3 x 1.0
  • Delivered in a later elected term: 0 x 0.8
  • Partial delivery: 9 x 0.4
  • Never delivered: 1 x 0.0
  • Disputed claims tracked separately: 0
  • Reviewed promises in current record: 13
  • Confidence: 52%
  • Current claim count: 32
  • Current evidence count: 86

Open claims and evidence

Office History

  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Michigan 2nd congressional district · current
    Ongoing 2026 federal campaign as of 2026-07-03; FEC statement of candidacy listed as filed 11/15/2024 for Michigan House District 2, type incumbent.
  • U.S. Representative
    Michigan 2nd congressional district · current
    Current federal elected office as of 2026-07-03.
  • U.S. Representative
    Michigan 2nd · current
    Historical elected offices still need research.
  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Michigan 2nd congressional district
    Won reelection to U.S. House; Republican primary was uncontested with 94,937 votes.
  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Michigan 2nd congressional district
    Won election in newly configured 2nd district after redistricting; Republican primary result was Moolenaar 77,394, 65.2%.
  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Michigan 4th congressional district
    Won reelection to U.S. House from the 4th district before 2022 redistricting.
  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Michigan 4th congressional district
    Won reelection to U.S. House.
  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Michigan 4th congressional district
    Won reelection to U.S. House.
  • U.S. Representative
    Michigan 4th congressional district
    Federal elected office only; district changed after redistricting. Term began January 3, 2015 and district service ended January 3, 2023.
  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Michigan 4th congressional district
    Won open-seat general election after winning Republican primary with 34,399 votes, 52.4%.

Claims

Open full claims and evidence page

Method note

Long term, this app should score against a manually reviewed promise ledger that spans every elected office the candidate has held. The current model uses a Bayesian-style shrinkage step: thin records are pulled back toward 50 so the UI does not overstate certainty.

Claim occurrences, evidence, and future AI adjudications are all designed to store provider and model provenance. Formula version: 0.1.0.