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Troy Downing

U.S. Representative, Montana 2nd District · Montana · Republican · Roster snapshot 2026-04-22
Serving in office Scheduled research active Main board
The signal is improving, but the lifetime record is still thin.

This profile keeps a lifetime office and promise record. The trust score is designed to stay close to 50 until enough claims and evidence are reviewed.

Breakdown

  • Delivered during the term promised: 4 x 1.0
  • Delivered in a later elected term: 0 x 0.8
  • Partial delivery: 10 x 0.4
  • Never delivered: 5 x 0.0
  • Disputed claims tracked separately: 0
  • Reviewed promises in current record: 19
  • Confidence: 61%
  • Current claim count: 35
  • Current evidence count: 124

Open claims and evidence

Office History

  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Montana 2nd · current
    Federal campaign only. As of July 3, 2026, Downing is seeking reelection to Montana's 2nd congressional district; the 2026 general election is pending.
  • U.S. Representative
    Montana 2nd · current
    Federal elected office. Current House service began with the 119th Congress on January 3, 2025.
  • U.S. Representative
    Montana 2nd · current
    Historical elected offices still need research.
  • Candidate for U.S. Representative
    Montana 2nd
    Federal campaign only. Downing ran for Montana's 2nd congressional district in 2024 and won the general election.
  • Candidate for U.S. Senator
    Montana
    Federal campaign only. Downing sought the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Montana in 2018 and was eliminated in the primary; no Senate office held.

Claims

Open full claims and evidence page

Method note

Long term, this app should score against a manually reviewed promise ledger that spans every elected office the candidate has held. The current model uses a Bayesian-style shrinkage step: thin records are pulled back toward 50 so the UI does not overstate certainty.

Claim occurrences, evidence, and future AI adjudications are all designed to store provider and model provenance. Formula version: 0.1.0.